Andreas Schäfer (University of Cambridge)
Andreas Schäfer (University of Cambridge)
Mobility 2030: Human Factors, Technology, and Climate Constraints
Abstract
This talk would begin with a
projection of world-regional and global travel demand through 2030/50 for all
major modes of transport.
Next, it highlights the trends in
passenger travel energy intensity of automobiles and aircraft resulting from
consumer and industry behavior and projects GHG emissions in a constant
technology scenario. In a subsequent step, it very briefly (given the
subsequent talks) assesses the potential of
technologies and low-carbon fuels to reduce these emissions and estimates the
maximum technology potential for reducing global GHG emissions in 2030/50. Finally, it evaluates the range of policy
options for pushing some of these technologies into the transport sector and
evaluates the impact of a 550 ppm climate policy on the US transportation
sector.
CV
Andreas Schäfer holds a Dipl-Ing in
Aero-and Astronautical Engineering and a Doctorate in Energy Economics, both
from the University of Stuttgart, Germany. After spending five years at the
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg,
Austria, and seven years at the MassachusettsInstitute of Technology, he is
currently a lecturer (associate professor) at the University of
Cambridge (UK).
Andreas has been working for 15
years in the area of technology, human behavior, and the environment. His main
areas of interest are modeling the demand for energy services, assessing
characteristics of future low-greenhouse gas emission technologies, and
simulating the optimum technology dynamics in a greenhouse gas constrained
energy system. He has published widely on global travel demand modeling,
transport system technology assessment, and the introduction of technology.
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